Thursday, December 29, 2016

Fiesta Bowl (Semifinal) OHIO STATE v CLEMSON



Fiesta Bowl      Playoff Semifinal          OHIO STATE v CLEMSON
December 31, 2016    University of Phoenix Stadium            Glendale, AZ

Clemson Tigers
Location: Clemson, SC
Stadium: Memorial Stadium (80,301)

Coach: Dabo Swinney (8th year): 87-28 at Clemson/overall, 54-15 v ACC, 1-0 v OSU

Series: Clemson 2, OSU 0
Last Meeting: 1/1/2014: Clemson 40, OSU 35
Coach Meyer (5th year): 61-5 at OSU/165-28 overall, 42-3 v B1G, 0-1 v Clemson
2015 Ohio State Buckeyes (12-1)(7-1)B1G               2015 Clemson Tigers (14-1)(8-0)ACC
42        at Virginia Tech          24                                49        Wofford                       10
38        Hawaii                         0                                41        Appalachian State       10
20        Northern Illinois          13                                20        at Louisville                 17
38        Western Michigan      12                                24        Notre Dame                22
34        at Indiana                    27                                43        Georgia Tech              24
49        Maryland                    28                                34        Boston College            17
38        Penn State                   10                                58        at Miami                       0
49        at Rutgers                     7                                56        NC State                      41
28        Minnesota                   14                                23        Florida State                13
28        at Illinois                       3                                37        at Syracuse                  27
14        Michigan State            17                                33        Wake Forest                13
42        at Michigan                 13                                37        at South Carolina        32
44        Notre Dame                28                                45        North Carolina            37
            (Fiesta Bowl)                                                               (ACC Championship)
                                                                                    37        Oklahoma                   17
                                                                                                (Orange Bowl: Semifinal)
                                                                                    40        Alabama                      45
                                                                                                (National Championship game)

2016 Ohio State Buckeyes (11-1)(8-1)B1G               2016 Clemson Tigers (12-1)(9-1)ACC
77        Bowling Green              10                                19        at Auburn                    13
48        Tulsa                              3                                30        Troy                             24
45        at Oklahoma                24                                59        South Carolina State     0
S24                                                                              26        at Georgia Tech            7
58        Rutgers                          0                                42        Louisville                     36                   
38        Indiana                        17                                56        at Boston College        10
30        at Wisconsin                23 (OT)                       24        NC State                     17 (OT)
21        at Penn State               24                               
24        Northwestern              20                                37        at Florida State           34                   
62        Nebraska                      3                                54        Syracuse                        0
62        at Maryland                  3                                42        Pittsburgh                    43
17        at Michigan State        16                                35        at Wake Forest            13
30        Michigan                     27 (OT)                       56        South Carolina               7
                                                                                   42        Virginia Tech               35
                                                                                                (ACC Championship)
D31      Clemson                                                                      Ohio State
            (Fiesta Bowl: Semifinal)                                              (Fiesta Bowl: Semifinal)
            For the second time in the three-year history of the major college football playoff, the Ohio State Buckeyes are in.  This time, they take on the Clemson Tigers in the Fiesta Bowl.  The Tigers feature great balance on both sides of the ball, as they rank in the top 20 in the nation in total offense and defense, scoring offense and defense and passing offense and defense.

OHIO STATE OFFENSE v CLEMSON DEFENSE: Clemson defensive coordinator Brent Venables won the Broyles award this year for the top assistant in the nation for his work with a defensive unit that had to replace seven starters from last year’s championship game participant.  Despite the losses, Clemson is ninth in the nation in total defense, 12th in scoring defense, third in sacks and third in tackles for loss..
It starts up front for the Tigers as their young, talented front four have accounted for 40.5 tackles for loss.  DE Christian Wilkins, a 6-4, 310-pound sophomore, was a Nagurski Award finalist and a first-team All-American by several selection committees. His quickness for a down linemen allowed him to be in on 12 TFLs, three sacks and seven pass breakups.  Additionally, Wilkins was a force on special teams, where he had a 10-yard run on a fake punt, and blocked a kick. He also caught a touchdown pass from Deshaun Watson in the win over Troy, the first Clemson defensive lineman to score an offensive touchdown in school history. Senior DT Carlos Watkins made the CBS All-American team and leads the team in sacks (8.5), the most by a Clemson defensive tackle since 1990 and just 1.5 off the record held by William Perry (1984) and Michael Dean Perry (1987). Watkins comes into the Fiesta Bowl with 70 tack­les, 10.5 tackles for loss and 12 quarterback pressures. DT Dexter Lawrence was a first-team freshman All-American by USA Today and ESPN and has 74 stops to lead all defensive linemen and also has two blocked kicks and two fumble recoveries.  The other front four starter is DE Clelin Ferrell and he has done very well for a red-shirt freshman. He has started all 13 games, has 43 tackles, including 8.5 for loss and five sacks.
Clemson’s top two linebackers lead the Tigers in tackles. Senior Ben Boulware en­ters the playoffs with 114, including nine tackles for loss, while sophomore Kendall Joseph has 107, including 10 be­hind the line of scrimmage, third on the team. Boulware was named a second-team All-American by five services this year and was named the ACC Co- Defensive Player of the Year according to the league’s coaches.  The third starting linebacker is junior Dorian O’Daniel who garnered 53 tackles this season in 13 games, 10 as a starter. He had nine tackles for loss, including 2.5 sacks and an interception.
Clemson’s fine play in the secondary was a big reason the Tigers enter the postseason ranked fifth in the nation in pass efficiency defense, 12th in comple­tion percentage defense, seventh in interceptions and eighth in yards per attempt allowed. Senior CB Cordrea Tankersley is considered a first-round NFL draft prospect.  He comes into the game with 55 tackles to rank sixth on the team and will probably be matched up one-on-one against Noah Brown or even Curtis Samuel when he lines up as a slot receiver.  SS Jadar Johnson just graduated on December 15 and he garnered 50 tackles, a team best five interceptions and seven passes broken up.  Sophomore FS Van Smith and junior CB Ryan Carter complete the Clemson secondary that allowed just 12 touchdown passes all year, 14th best in the nation. Smith is a safety who had 102 tackles including six tackles for loss. He had at least 13 tackles in wins over Troy, Louisville and Boston College and had at least seven stops in 10 of the 13 games. Carter stepped in at cornerback after Mackensie Alexander left for the NFL early. He contributed 26 tackles, including 23 first hits, 5.5 tackles for loss and seven pass breakups, plus an interception.
Carter contributed 26 tackles, including 23 first hits, 5.5 tackles for loss and seven pass breakups, plus an interception.

                                            LB Ben Boulware
OHIO STATE DEFENSE v CLEMSON OFFENSE: Ohio State’s young, opportunistic defense leads the nation in pass efficiency defense (91.43), rank second in defensive TDs (7) and total TDs allowed (15), third in pass efficiency defense (91.43), rank second in defensive TDs (7) and total TDs allowed (15), third in fewest points allowed (14.2) and turnover margin (+1.33) and are fourth with 19 interceptions. The Buckeyes set a school record this season with seven interceptions returned for TDs.  They will be up against one of the best offensive units around.  The Clemson offense ranks 13th in the nation in to­tal offense, seventh in the nation in passing offense and 15th in scoring offense. The unit has converted on third down .515 of the time, sixth best in the nation.  The team averages 40.2 points and 505.5 yards per game, on pace to become just the third team in Clemson history to average at least 40 points and 500 yards per game. Senior QB Deshaun Watson, a Heisman finalist, is the quarterback and has posted a 30-3 record as a starter over the last three years, the best winning percentage in Clemson history.  Watson has completed .676 of his passes this sea­son (329-487) for 3,914 yards and a school record 37 touchdown passes and is also second on the team in rushing with 526 yards and six scores, giving him 43 touchdowns in terms of touchdown responsibility this year.  Of course, everyone knows about the venerable Wayne Gallman who has 1,002 yards and 15 touchdowns. It is the junior’s second straight 1,000-yard season and he is just the sixth Clemson back to have two 1,000-yard seasons in a career and is fifth in school history with 3298 career rushing yards.  Clemson has a deep and experienced receiving corps. The top six receivers have combined for 709 receptions for 9,236 yards and 83 touchdowns. Four of the top 14 players in Clemson history in terms of touchdown receptions are on this team. Junior All-American Mike Williams leads the team with 84 receptions for 1,171 yards and 10 scores, while junior Artivis Scott already has a whopping 240 receptions in his career, tied for the Clemson all-time record with Sammy Watkins.  This year, Scott has 71 receptions for 592 yards and five touchdowns. He scored what proved to be the winning touchdown against NC State on a TD reception from Watson, and had the biggest special teams play of the year when his 77-yard kickoff return against Louis­ville changed the momentum of the game in Clemson’s favor in the fourth quarter. Sophomores Ray-ray McCloud and Hunter Renfrow figure to split time at another WR spot.  McCloud is third on the team in receiving with 45 receptions for 443 yards and two scores. He also led Clemson in punt return yards with 176 this season. Renfrow missed four games with an injury, but has been productive when healthy, and has 29 re­ceptions for 353 yards and four scores.  Senior Jordan Leggett is a record setting tight end who was a finalist for the Mackey Award each of the last two seasons, who has 38 catches for 637 yards and seven scores. He scored what proved to be the winning touch­downs against Louisville and Florida State.
Clemson had three of the five first-team players on the offensive line, led by center Jay Guillermo who has started 27 games the last two years.  Tackle Mitch Hyatt also was named first-team All- ACC has also started the last 27 games at that spot.  Guard Tyrone Crowder is the third first-team All-ACC offensive lineman for the Tigers. He is also finishing his second full season as a starter. He was a third-team All-ACC selection in 2015 and has 26 career starts on two ACC Championship teams. Taylor Hearn (guard) and Sean Pollard (tackle) are two young linemen in the Clemson lineup in their first years as starters.
                                            QB Deshaun Watson

SPECIAL TEAMS: Clemson kicker Greg Huegel is 13 of 17 on his field goal attempts with a long of 47, while punter Andy Teasdall averages 37.7 yards per punt.  I give the Buckeyes the edge here, as punter Cameron Johnston  has consistently been among the best punters in the nation, averaging 46.2 yards per punt with a long of 70 as he gives the Buckeyes a clear advantage in any kind of field position strategy.  Tyler Durbin had only missed one field goal (the block that cost the Buckeyes the game at Penn State) until he had an off game against Michigan, missing twice.  Still, Durbin is usually reliable, going 17 of 20 with a long of 45.

SUMMARY: Both teams deserve to be here and have played solidly on both sides of the ball, with only one hiccup each.  It comes down to taking care of the ball and here is what could tilt the contest in Ohio State’s favor.  As good as Deshaun Watson is, he has a tendency to force the ball into coverage quite a bit, which explains the 15 interceptions he has thrown.  Watson must change that if Clemson is to have a decent chance, because if he continues that trend against an Ohio State defense that has 19 interceptions and seven pick-sixes, Ohio State blows Clemson off the field.  But, I look for Watson to play better and throw more underneath to the tight end and Gallman than throwing deep.  This talented Clemson defense will be tasked with doing something no defense has done all year (including good defenses of Wisconsin, Penn State, and Michigan), contain all three of Ohio State’s offensive stars: J.T. Barrett, Mike Weber, and Curtis Samuel.  Clemson must be able to hold Weber and Samuel under 100 yards and keep them out of the end zone and force Barrett to beat them with his arm.  If either Weber or Samuel gets over 100 yards on the ground and get into the end zone, then Clemson’s defense could be in trouble.

                                          OHIO STATE 31, CLEMSON 24

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